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Menaka Hampole and co-authors linked resume data to firms' AI-application adoption to isolate AI's true effect on jobs, not just correlation. In their preferred instrumental-variables specification, a one-standard-deviation rise in an occupation's AI exposure cuts its within-firm employment share by 14%

SourceNBER·Working Paper 33509, 2025

Verified 2026-08-22

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a one-standard-deviation rise in an occupation's AI exposure