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PrimaryLabourno average skill gainMIT economist David Autor and Google researchers ran a randomized trial giving 133 patent lawyers at eleven US law firms an AI drafting assistant for three months. When the tool was then taken away and lawyers drafted unaided, junior lawyers who had used it showedNBER Working Paper 35720October 2026- ReportedLabourone-third of organizations expect AI to shrink their workforceStanford's 2026 AI Index reports that one-third of organizations expect AI to shrink their workforce over the next year, per McKinsey's 2025 survey, rising to 35% among firms with over $1 billion in revenueStanford AI Index 2026McKinsey 2025 survey
- ReportedLabour111%Stanford's 2026 AI Index, citing Lightcast's job-postings database, found that even as employer demand shifted toward newer agentic-AI skills, mentions of generative AI skills specifically in US AI job postings still grew, from 2024 to 2025, byStanford HAI AI Index 20262024-2025
- PrimaryLabour752,100 jobs by 2035BLS's new 2025-2035 employment projections single out office and administrative support as the hardest-hit major occupational group, crediting the continued integration of automation tools including AI: the agency projects employment there falling 4.0%, the fastest decline of any group, a loss ofUS Bureau of Labor Statistics2025-2035 projections
- PrimaryLabour1.0% in August 2026, the Information sector's JOLTS layoffs rate, down from 2.0% in June and 1.4% in JulyAI is widely blamed for tech-sector layoffs, but the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' JOLTS survey shows the opposite trend lately in the Information sector. Its layoffs-and-discharges rate eased toBLS JOLTSAug 2026
- PrimaryLabour120,400 new AI-driven jobsBLS projects the computing infrastructure, data processing and web-hosting industry will grow 25.1% and add 120,400 new jobs from 2025 to 2035, crediting accelerated AI adoption as the driverBureau of Labor Statistics2025-2035 proj.
- PrimaryLabour7.3% — lower than the 7.8% recorded in summer 2024A new NBER paper tracking recent college graduates (ages 22-25) through CPS microdata found their unemployment rate averaged over June, July and August 2026 wasNBER (Fairlie & Wu)Summer 2026
- PrimaryLabour5.5% through 2034, a loss of 153,700 jobsBLS's 2024-34 occupational employment projections, which credit AI adoption with dampening labor demand in some fields, single out customer service representatives as the hardest hit of any single occupation: the agency projects employment there fallingUS Bureau of Labor Statistics2024-34 projections
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