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Firms across the US, UK, Germany and Australia expect AI to lower their employment by about 0.7% over the next three years, with the steepest expected declines in the UK (-1.4%) and US (-1.2%) Firms expect AI to cut employment ~0.7% over the next 3 years

SourceNBER Working Paper 34836·Feb 2026, rev. Mar 2026

Verified 2026-09-17

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