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NBER's Firm Data on AI paper found a striking gap in expectations: while executives surveyed expect AI to cut their firms' employment by 0.7% over the next three years, US employees surveyed separately in December 2025 predicted AI would raise US firms' employment about 0.5% over the next three years

SourceNBER (Yotzov et al.)·March 2026

Verified 2026-09-20

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AI would raise US firms' employment about 0.5% over the…