THE DAILY RECEIPTS

The Daily Receipts

Edition of 2 November 2026

Below is the edition as it went out by email, followed by the receipts behind it, each linked to its source.

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The receipts in this edition

Supply chainEstimate

TrendForce expects shortages of high-end MLCCs, the tiny capacitors packed around AI server CPUs, power modules and DDR5 memory, to last through the first half of 2027 as AI inference lifts CPU demand, even though consumer-grade MLCC spot prices slipped about 5% in early October 2026 High-end MLCC shortages are expected to last through the first half of 2027

SourceTrendForce·29 Oct 2026
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ComputeEstimate

TrendForce expects AI agents to change how servers are built, moving from the traditional one CPU for every eight GPUs or ASICs toward 1:2 or even 1:1, which it forecasts will push server CPU shipments up more than 40% in 2027, after 31% growth in 2026

SourceTrendForce·22 Oct 2026
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LabourPrimary

Even as AI investment surges, US payroll employment in computer systems design and related services, the custom-programming and IT-consulting industry, has kept slipping. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' preliminary September 2026 estimate put it at 2.355 million computer-systems-design jobs, about 32,000 fewer than a year earlier

SourceU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CES)·Sept 2026 (preliminary)
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ModelsEstimate

OpenAI's own researchers are leaning on coding agents at a compounding pace. Epoch AI's analysis of OpenAI's self-reported usage data finds the typical researcher's internal coding-agent usage, priced at API list rates, has been doubling roughly every 34 days

SourceEpoch AI·Oct 2026
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HardwareEstimate

HBM4, the next generation of high-bandwidth memory feeding Nvidia's upcoming GPUs, costs far more to make than the HBM3e it replaces. Fubon Research estimated in a report TrendForce cited in August 2026 that HBM4 for Nvidia GPUs costs $31 to $32 per gigabyte, nearly double HBM3e's $17 to $18

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The last close

Broad decline — 70 of 72 AI names lower — session 2026-10-30

Stock of the day

MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, −2.6% today, at 1,179.39
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