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LabourReported

Stanford's AI Index, citing Brynjolfsson et al., finds AI's labour-market effect landing on hiring pipelines rather than on broad job losses. By September 2025, employment for US software developers aged 22 to 25 had fallen close to 20% from its 2022 peak

SourceStanford AI Index·2026 report

Verified 2026-08-11

More on Labour

  • Nearly 750 executives in the Duke/Federal Reserve CFO Survey expect AI to barely touch total headcount — aggregate employment down less than 0.4% in 2026. What shifts is the mix, over the next three years: routine clerical work down more than 2 percentage points of employment share
  • Asked what three years of AI had actually changed inside their own firms, nearly 6,000 senior executives across the US, UK, Germany and Australia mostly reported nothing: nine in ten saw no impact on employment or productivity
  • In a randomised field experiment across 66 firms and 7,137 knowledge workers, a generative AI tool built into everyday work apps saved the people who used it two hours a week on email, with no detected change in their tasks
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