Deep dive

Eaton

Eaton

ETN · Power & Cooling

The grid end of the build: electrical sales were 77.1% of the quarter, the backlog is about $26.2bn, and debt has more than doubled since the end of 2025 to buy a thermal business — while Eaton reports no data-centre revenue line.

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Figures as of
Q3 2026, the quarter to 30 September 2026
Last re-read
7 November 2026
Stance
Education, not advice
Position
AllFactsAI holds no position in Eaton (ETN), as at 16 October 2026.
Net sales, September quarter$8,947mA record. Up 28% on a year earlier, from $6,988m: 19% organic, 8% from acquisitions and 1% from currency.Filed
Total backlog$26.2bnAbout $26.2bn at 30 September 2026, the 10-Q's figure. About 72% targeted for delivery within twelve months. About $19.8bn at 31 December 2025, about 69% within twelve months, from the 2025 10-K.Filed
Total debt$20,106mLong-term debt of $17,802m + short-term debt of $1,594m + the current portion of long-term debt of $710m, at 30 September 2026. At 31 December 2025 the same three lines were $8,758m + $1m + $1,136m = $9,895m.Computed

The short version

  • Electrical share of sales77.1%($4,172m + $2,727m) ÷ $8,947m of net sales, September quarter. Electrical Americas and Electrical Global.Computed
  • Adjusted earnings per share$3.68Eaton's own measure, a record, against $3.07 a year earlier. It excludes $0.62 of intangible amortisation and $0.30 of acquisition and divestiture charges, and it excludes income of $0.01 from the restructuring program, which lowers the figure by $0.01: $2.77 + $0.62 + $0.30 − $0.01 = $3.68. Diluted earnings per share as filed were $2.77, against $2.59.Company-adjusted
  • Data-centre revenue disclosed—Eaton reports no data-centre revenue line. The 10-Q names data centres among the end markets behind the organic growth — for Electrical Americas, "strength in data center, machine OEM, and commercial & institutional end-markets", and for Electrical Global, "particular strength in data center, machine OEM, and utility end-markets" — and gives no dollar figure.Editorial

The business

What it sells

Eaton reports four segments. In the quarter to 30 September 2026, Electrical Americas was $4,172m and Electrical Global $2,727m. Together they were 77.1% of the $8,947m of net sales. Aerospace was $1,196m and Mobility $852m. Inside Mobility the 10-Q still splits the sales: Vehicle $691m and eMobility $161m.

The filings name data centres among the end markets behind the organic growth, and give no dollar figure for that work. For Electrical Americas the 10-Q's words are "strength in data center, machine OEM, and commercial & institutional end-markets". For Electrical Global they are "particular strength in data center, machine OEM, and utility end-markets". What they do name in dollars is equipment bought for it: Fibrebond, modular power enclosures for data centres, bought on 1 April 2025 for $1.43bn and folded into Electrical Americas, and Boyd Thermal, thermal components and systems for data centres and aerospace, bought on 12 March 2026 for $9.55bn net of cash and folded into Electrical Global. On 25 September 2026 Eaton signed an agreement to acquire COL Group, medium-voltage electrical distribution, for €810m ($921m at the 30 September 2026 exchange rate), to be reported in Electrical Global. Eaton expects that close in the first quarter of 2027.

Mobility is the segment Eaton is leaving. It is to be separated and combined with Dana in a Reverse Morris Trust. A supplemental letter agreement was entered on 16 October 2026. Eaton expects the close in the first four months of 2027, and expects its shareholders to own 50.1% of the combined company. Certain of its subsidiaries are to receive a cash distribution of approximately $1.1bn before completion. In the September quarter Mobility's sales were $852m, against $775m a year earlier, and its operating profit was $146m, against $105m. The same filings record Ultra PCS, bought for Aerospace on 23 January 2026 for $1.53bn, Resilient Power Systems, bought on 6 August 2025 for $86m, and a 7% stake in SPAN, bought on 15 January 2026 for $75m.

Where the revenue comes from
  • Electrical Americas$4.17bn46.6%
  • Electrical Global$2.73bn30.5%
  • Aerospace$1.20bn13.4%
  • Mobility$0.85bn9.5%

The September quarter's net sales by the segments Eaton reports, as filed, in billions. They sum to $8,947m. None of them is a data-centre line: Eaton reports none.

Where the revenue comes from

Power & Cooling

Place in the chain

Eaton sits in the power layer, at the grid end of the build: the electrical equipment between the utility connection and the hall. Vertiv covers the rack end of the same layer. Eaton also sells into aerospace, and it is separating Mobility. It reports no data-centre revenue line, so how much of the electrical growth is the data-centre build cannot be read as a number. It can only be read as the end market the filings name.

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The numbers

Revenue and capital spending · $bnRevenueCapital spending
Revenue and capital spending · $bnAnnual net sales and capital expenditure as Eaton filed them in its fourth-quarter results releases. Sales grew 32% from 2022 to 2025, (27.448 − 20.752) ÷ 20.752. Capital expenditure was 2.9% of sales in 2022, 0.598 ÷ 20.752, and 3.3% in 2025, 0.919 ÷ 27.448. In 2025 operating cash flow was $4,472m and free cash flow, Eaton's own measure, was $3,553m; diluted earnings per share were $10.45 and adjusted earnings per share $12.07. The 2025 segment names in that release predate the recast: the 8-K of 16 October 2026 merges Vehicle and eMobility into Mobility. The totals are unchanged.0.00102030202220232024270.922025

Annual net sales and capital expenditure as Eaton filed them in its fourth-quarter results releases. Sales grew 32% from 2022 to 2025, (27.448 − 20.752) ÷ 20.752. Capital expenditure was 2.9% of sales in 2022, 0.598 ÷ 20.752, and 3.3% in 2025, 0.919 ÷ 27.448. In 2025 operating cash flow was $4,472m and free cash flow, Eaton's own measure, was $3,553m; diluted earnings per share were $10.45 and adjusted earnings per share $12.07. The 2025 segment names in that release predate the recast: the 8-K of 16 October 2026 merges Vehicle and eMobility into Mobility. The totals are unchanged.

Show as table
YearRevenueCapital spending
2022$20.75bn$0.60bn
2023$23.20bn$0.76bn
2024$24.88bn$0.81bn
2025$27.45bn$0.92bn

2025: Revenue $27.45bn, Capital spending $0.92bn.

Q3 2026, the quarter to 30 September 2026

The latest quarter

The September quarter was a larger Eaton, and a record one for sales: net sales of $8,947m, up 28% on a year earlier, 19% of that organic, 8% from acquisitions and 1% from currency. Segment operating profit was $2,263m, against $1,749m, and the segment margin was a record 25.3%, which the release prints as 30 basis points above the third quarter of 2025.

Reported profit rose with it, and the adjusted measure rose further. Net income attributable to Eaton was $1,078m, against $1,010m, up 7%, and diluted earnings per share were $2.77, against $2.59. Adjusted earnings per share, Eaton's own measure, rose to $3.68 from $3.07, which the release prints as up 20%, and calls a record. The adjusted figure excludes $0.62 of intangible amortisation and $0.30 of acquisition and divestiture charges, and it excludes income of $0.01 from the restructuring program, which lowers the figure by $0.01: $2.77 + $0.62 + $0.30 − $0.01 = $3.68. Intangible amortisation in the quarter was $314m, against $130m, which the 10-Q prints as up 142%, and the pre-tax acquisition and divestiture charges were $128m, against $55m. The restructuring program was income of $3m before tax, against a $55m charge a year earlier. Goodwill was $20,298m at 30 September, against $15,769m at the end of 2025, and other intangible assets were $12,264m, against $5,054m. Over the nine months, reported net income was $2,765m against $2,955m, down 6% as the 10-Q prints it, and diluted earnings per share were $7.10 against $7.54, also down 6%. The quarter rose. The nine months are still below a year earlier.

Electrical Americas grew 22%, all of it organic, to $4,172m, at a 29.8% margin, against 30.3%. The release prints that margin as up 230 basis points sequentially. The 10-Q attributes the year-on-year move to a 250 basis point drag from higher commodity and wage inflation and a 100 basis point drag from higher costs to support growth, partly offset by a 300 basis point lift from higher sales. Its backlog was $15,993m, up 33%. Orders on a twelve-month rolling organic basis were up 39%, and the book-to-bill, the 10-Q's average of the last four quarters, was 1.3. Electrical Global grew 58%, to $2,727m: 27% organic and 31% from Boyd Thermal. The 10-Q prints a dash for foreign currency in the quarter, its zero. Its margin was 21.1%, against 19.1%, which the release prints as up 200 basis points. Its backlog was $4,381m, up 121%, and up 77% organically. Orders on a twelve-month rolling organic basis were up 51%, and the book-to-bill was 1.1. On a rolling twelve-month basis the book-to-bill for the electrical businesses was 1.2. Aerospace grew on 6% organic and 5% from the Ultra PCS acquisition, to $1,196m, at a 24.9% margin against 25.9%, which the release prints as down 100 basis points. Its backlog was $5,601m, up 33%, and its book-to-bill was 1.2. Orders on a twelve-month rolling organic basis were up 20%.

Boyd Thermal was bought with debt. Eaton paid $9.55bn net of cash on 12 March 2026, and $11,079m for acquisitions in the nine months. From the acquisition through 30 September, Boyd Thermal contributed segment operating profit of $257m on sales of $1,058m. In March it raised $8,500m of US notes and €1,200m ($1,390m) of euro notes, and $1,592m of commercial paper was outstanding at 30 September. Total debt, the three debt lines added together, was $20,106m at 30 September 2026, against $9,895m at 31 December 2025. Interest expense, net, was $198m, against $67m, which the 10-Q prints as up 196%. Income tax expense was $291m. The effective tax rate was 21.3%, against 20.7%. The 10-Q attributes the increase primarily to income in higher-tax jurisdictions and to withholding tax on funding the Boyd Thermal deal. The $52m of that withholding was incurred in the second quarter and sits in the nine-month tax, where the rate was 23.5% against 18.7%. Free cash flow, Eaton's own measure, was $1,034m. Operating cash flow was $1,310m and capital expenditure $275m, against $178m a year earlier. Operating cash flow of $1,310m less capital expenditure of $275m is $1,035m, and the release prints $1,034m. There were no share repurchases in the quarter or the nine months, against $355m in the quarter a year earlier, and Eaton says it does not intend to pursue them in 2026 because of the Boyd Thermal acquisition. Cash was $528m, against $622m at the end of 2025, and short-term investments were $290m, against $181m.

  • Net sales, Q3 2026$8,947mA record. Up 28% on a year earlier, from $6,988m: 19% organic, 8% from acquisitions and 1% from currency. Nine months: $24,929m, against $20,393m.Filed
  • Segment operating profit$2,263mAgainst $1,749m a year earlier. Segment margin a record 25.3%, which the release prints as 30 basis points above the third quarter of 2025.Filed
  • Net income attributable to Eaton$1,078mAgainst $1,010m a year earlier, up 7% as the 10-Q prints it. Nine months: $2,765m, against $2,955m, down 6% as the 10-Q prints it.Filed
  • Diluted earnings per share$2.77Against $2.59 a year earlier, up 7%. Nine months: $7.10, against $7.54, down 6% as the 10-Q prints it.Filed
  • Adjusted earnings per share$3.68Eaton's own measure, against $3.07, up 20% as the release prints it. It excludes $0.62 of intangible amortisation and $0.30 of acquisition and divestiture charges, and it excludes income of $0.01 from the restructuring program, which lowers the figure by $0.01: $2.77 + $0.62 + $0.30 − $0.01 = $3.68.Company-adjusted
  • Electrical share of sales77.1%($4,172m + $2,727m) ÷ $8,947m, September quarter.Computed
  • Capital expenditure as a share of sales3.1%$275m of capital expenditure ÷ $8,947m of net sales, September quarter. A year earlier capital expenditure was $178m. Nine months: $721m, against $527m.Computed
  • Operating cash flow$1,310mIn the September quarter, from the earnings-release reconciliation. The release does not print the year-ago quarter. Nine months: $2,943m, against $2,507m.Filed
  • Free cash flow$1,034mEaton's own measure. The reconciliation prints operating cash flow of $1,310m and capital expenditure of $275m. Operating cash flow of $1,310m less capital expenditure of $275m is $1,035m, and the release prints free cash flow of $1,034m; it says rows may not add because of rounding. The release does not print the year-ago quarter.Company-adjusted
  • Interest expense, net$198mAgainst $67m a year earlier. The 10-Q prints the increase as 196%.Filed
  • Total debt$20,106mLong-term debt of $17,802m + short-term debt of $1,594m + the current portion of long-term debt of $710m, at 30 September 2026. At 31 December 2025 the same three lines were $8,758m + $1m + $1,136m = $9,895m.Computed
  • Cash paid for acquisitions, first nine months$11,079m$11,079m in the nine months to 30 September 2026, on the 10-Q's cash-flow statement. Boyd Thermal was $9.55bn net of cash on 12 March 2026.Filed
  • Total backlog$26.2bnAt 30 September 2026. About 72% targeted for delivery within twelve months. About $19.8bn at 31 December 2025, about 69% within twelve months, from the 2025 10-K.Filed
  • Electrical Americas backlog$15,993mAt 30 September 2026, up 33% on a year earlier. Orders on a twelve-month rolling organic basis were up 39%. Book-to-bill 1.3, the 10-Q's average of the last four quarters. Electrical Global's backlog was $4,381m, up 121%.Filed

What's working, what could break

What's working

  • Electrical Americas orders were up 39% on a twelve-month rolling organic basis, the book-to-bill was 1.3, and the backlog was $15,993m, up 33%.
  • Electrical Global's backlog was $4,381m, up 121%, and up 77% on an organic basis. Orders on a twelve-month rolling organic basis were up 51%, and the book-to-bill was 1.1.
  • The total backlog was about $26.2bn at 30 September 2026, about 72% of it targeted for delivery within twelve months, against about $19.8bn at the end of 2025.
  • Segment operating profit rose to $2,263m from $1,749m, on a record segment margin of 25.3%. Sales grew 32% from 2022 to 2025 while capital expenditure stayed near 3% of sales.

What could break

  • Eaton reports no data-centre revenue line, so the end markets the filings name, data centres among them, have no dollar figure.
  • Total debt was $20,106m at 30 September 2026, against $9,895m at 31 December 2025, more than double. Interest expense was $198m, against $67m, up 196% as the 10-Q prints it.
  • Diluted earnings per share were $2.77. Adjusted earnings per share, Eaton's own measure, were $3.68. The gap is the excluded $0.62 of intangible amortisation and $0.30 of acquisition and divestiture charges, less the excluded income of $0.01 from restructuring: $2.77 + $0.62 + $0.30 − $0.01 = $3.68. Intangible amortisation was $314m, against $130m. Over the nine months, reported net income was $2,765m against $2,955m, down 6% as the 10-Q prints it.
  • The Electrical Americas margin was 29.8%, against 30.3%. The 10-Q attributes a 250 basis point drag to higher commodity and wage inflation, a 100 basis point drag to higher costs to support growth, and a 300 basis point lift from higher sales: 250 + 100 − 300 = 50 basis points, from 30.3% to 29.8%. Mobility, $852m of the quarter, is being separated, so what remains is more electrical and still levered.

Our read

Verdict

The grid end of the build, on the numbers Eaton does file: electrical sales were 77.1% of the quarter, the backlog is about $26.2bn, and both electrical segments name data centres among the end markets behind the organic growth. The number it does not file is the one that would say how much. What it filed instead is the cost of buying further into that work. Debt has more than doubled since 31 December 2025, to $20,106m, to pay for Boyd Thermal, and Mobility is to be separated and combined with Dana. The read is a larger electrical company, more levered, with the data-centre piece still unnamed in dollars.

Editorial

What would change our read

  • A data-centre revenue lineA dollar figure for data centres in a filing would turn the end market Eaton names into a number a reader can track. Until then the growth is a sentence, not a line.
  • The debt coming back downTotal debt was $20,106m at 30 September 2026, against $9,895m at 31 December 2025, and interest expense was $198m against $67m. Quarters in which the new debt starts to fall, and the interest with it, would show the Boyd Thermal deal being paid down out of the business.
  • The Electrical Americas marginIt was 29.8%, against 30.3%, with a 250 basis point drag from higher commodity and wage inflation, a 100 basis point drag from higher costs to support growth, and a 300 basis point lift from higher sales: 250 + 100 − 300 = 50 basis points, from 30.3% to 29.8%. The release also prints the margin up 230 basis points sequentially. A quarter in which that inflation drag itself narrows would show the cost being passed on, rather than offset by the volume.

Sources

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