THE DAILY RECEIPTS

The Daily Receipts

Edition of 4 November 2026

Below is the edition as it went out by email, followed by the receipts behind it, each linked to its source.

As sent by email

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The receipts in this edition

ComputePrimary

Amazon Web Services, the cloud unit that rents out computing power for AI, grew segment sales 39% year-over-year to $46.0 billion in the third quarter of 2026

SourceAmazon, Form 8-K Ex. 99.1·Q3 2026 (Oct 2026)
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AdoptionPrimary

In the quarter ended 30 September 2026, Microsoft Cloud revenue was $63.9 billion, up 30%, commercial remaining performance obligation increased 73% to $677 billion, and Azure revenue increased 48%

SourceMicrosoft, Form 8-K Ex. 99.1·Q1 FY2027 (Oct 2026)
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ModelsPrimary

NBER researchers testing 13 proprietary and open-weight LLMs on HouseholdBench, which unites 6 US household surveys and 32 prediction tasks, found the best model lowered error for numeric outcomes by 12.2%, and that a billion parameter open-weight model matched proprietary models after fine-tuning and aggregating 16 predictions per observation A fine-tuned 4 billion parameter open model matched proprietary LLMs at predicting household outcomes

SourceNBER Working Paper 35927·Oct 2026
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CapitalEstimate

An NBER working paper finds that capital supply governs the size of the automation growth boom: the same technology path that generates 11.7% annual growth when households save optimally delivers only 2.2% when the saving rate is fixed at the calibrated US 2025 level of 23%

SourceNBER Working Paper 35964·Oct 2026
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MarketsEstimate

TrendForce projects global AI networking and interconnect market revenue will climb from US$37.9 billion in 2024 to US $279.8 billion in 2027

SourceTrendForce·Nov 2026
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HardwareEstimate

TrendForce expects NOR Flash supply and demand to remain imbalanced in the second half of 2026 as AI-related products absorb a substantial share of production capacity, with prices for high-capacity products poised for 90–110% increases

SourceTrendForce·Sep 2026
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The last close

Broad advance — 61 of 72 AI names higher — session 2026-11-03

Stock of the day

HUT Hut 8, −4.2% today, at 66.54
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